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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Israel Accused of Using White Phosphorus on Residential Buildings in Lebanon

 

A global human rights group has accused Israel of using white phosphorus incendiary shells on residential buildings in at least five towns and villages in conflict-hit southern Lebanon. The report, published by Human Rights Watch (HRW), raises concerns about potential harm to civilians and violations of international law.

White phosphorus is a controversial substance that can set buildings on fire and burn human flesh down to the bone. Survivors face risks of infections and organ or respiratory failure, even from small burns. While Israel maintains that it uses white phosphorus only as a smokescreen and not to target civilians, the evidence suggests otherwise.

The HRW report includes interviews with residents in conflict-hit southern Lebanon and verifies images showing white phosphorus shells landing on residential buildings. The Lebanese Health Ministry reports that at least 173 people have required medical care after exposure to white phosphorus.

This recent use of white phosphorus in Lebanon should prompt other countries to take action. HRW calls on the Lebanese government to allow the International Criminal Court to investigate and prosecute “grave international crimes” within Lebanon since October 2023.


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