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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Netanyahu Warns of Escalating Tensions as Gaza Operations Wind Down

 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently announced that the current phase of fighting against Hamas in Gaza is winding down. However, his statement comes with a caveat: the war against Hamas is not over, and Israel may soon shift its focus to another front—the northern border with Lebanon.

In a lengthy TV interview, Netanyahu explained that while the Israeli army is close to completing its current ground offensive in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, this does not signal the end of hostilities. Instead, he emphasized the need to free up forces to confront Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group backed by Iran. Netanyahu’s decision to re-deploy troops to the northern border raises concerns about escalating tensions in the region.

Hezbollah, a formidable force compared to Hamas, has been engaging in near-daily exchanges of fire with Israel since Hamas’ cross-border attack in October. The recent escalation has heightened fears of a larger conflict involving other Iranian proxies and potentially Iran itself. Such a war could result in heavy damage and casualties on both sides of the border.

While Netanyahu expressed hope for a diplomatic solution, he also asserted that Israel is prepared to fight on multiple fronts. Any resolution would require Hezbollah to move far from the border, an effective enforcement mechanism, and the return of displaced Israelis to their homes. Tens of thousands of people remain evacuated since the conflict erupted.

As the situation remains tense, international efforts continue to find a peaceful resolution. However, Netanyahu’s warning underscores the delicate balance between winding down Gaza operations and the potential for a new conflict in Lebanon.

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