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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Wall Street Mixed as Red-Hot Chipmaker Nvidia Claws Back Losses

 

World stocks experienced mixed performance today, with Wall Street showing a quiet and varied session. The red-hot chipmaker Nvidia, which had seen a meteoric rise in recent weeks, contributed to the market’s mixed sentiment.

Nvidia’s Recovery

  • Nvidia’s stock rose 2.2% before the opening bell, signaling a partial recovery from its recent losses. The frenzy over artificial intelligence (AI) that had propelled Nvidia’s stock to new heights appeared to be cooling down.
  • Just last week, Nvidia briefly overtook Microsoft as Wall Street’s most valuable company. However, in the past three days, it had declined nearly 13%.

Other Market Highlights

  • Microsoft: Shares of Microsoft remained essentially flat after the European Union accused the software giant of violating antitrust rules related to its Teams messaging and videoconferencing app.
  • SolarEdge: Solar panel manufacturer SolarEdge faced challenges, with its stock tumbling more than 17% before the bell. Customer PM&M Electric, owing SolarEdge over $11 million, filed for bankruptcy. Additionally, SolarEdge announced plans to raise $300 million through the sale of convertible senior notes.
  • Epac: Toolmaker Epac slid more than 9% due to missed third-quarter sales targets and lower-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue guidance.
  • Consumer Confidence Report: Later today, the Conference Board will release the latest consumer confidence report. In May, U.S. consumers showed increased confidence despite elevated inflation and high interest rates.
  • Global Markets: In Europe, France’s CAC 40 lost 0.8%, Germany’s DAX sank 1%, and Britain’s FTSE 100 was 0.2% lower. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 surged 1%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong recovered most of its daytime losses to end 0.3% higher.

Conclusion

Today’s market reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with Nvidia’s performance closely watched. 

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