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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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"CRA Duped Again: Ontario Construction Tax Credit Scam Costs Millions"

 

The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has once again fallen victim to a tax credit scam, this time involving Ontario's construction tax credit scheme. According to sources, the CRA mistakenly paid out tens of millions of dollars to scammers who used fake businesses to claim tax credits for non-existent renovations and construction projects.

The scheme, which began in 2020, allowed businesses to claim tax credits for building or renovating commercial facilities. However, the CRA failed to verify the claims, accepting them without review and paying out the credits without proper scrutiny. This oversight has resulted in significant financial losses, with the exact amount still being calculated but estimated to be in the tens of millions.

Minister of National Revenue Marie-Claude Bibeau has defended the CRA's fraud detection systems, calling them "robust," despite the repeated failures. The CRA has declined to comment on how the scam was missed and has not disclosed specific details about their monitoring strategies.

The Ontario finance ministry has stated that the CRA is responsible for administering the tax credits on behalf of the province, including conducting audits. Both the federal and provincial governments are now working together to address non-compliance and implement measures to minimize fraud in the future.

This latest incident raises questions about the effectiveness of the CRA's fraud detection systems and the accountability for the financial losses incurred.



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