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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Ottawa presses for united front to tackle Trump’s promised tariffs

 

Ottawa is indeed pushing for a united front to tackle the tariffs promised by President-elect Donald Trump. Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all products entering the U.S. from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the provincial premiers are working together to address this issue. Trudeau has already had discussions with Trump and plans to meet with the premiers to form a cohesive strategy. The potential impact on the Canadian economy is significant, with experts warning of catastrophic effects on various industries.

It's a tense situation, but the hope is that a united Canadian front can mitigate the potential damage. 



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