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BoC Decision Day: What a Hold at 2.25% Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 2, 2026 Tomorrow's date has been sitting at the bottom of every Canadian Money Brief for weeks, and it's finally here. The Bank of Canada announces its overnight rate decision on Wednesday, September 2 at 9:45 a.m. ET, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:30. Every economist polled by Reuters — all 35 of them — expects the same outcome: a hold at 2.25%, the eighth straight meeting without a move. That's the headline. The more useful question for your wallet is what a "boring" hold actually does — and doesn't do — to your mortgage, and why two of the Big Six banks think the boring streak is about to end. Why a hold is the almost-certain call The Bank has a genuinely awkward setup heading into this meeting. On one side, the economy just posted its best quarter in years: GDP grew at a 3.3% annualized pace in the second quarter, well ahead of the Bank's own 2.5% forecast, and July's jobs report added a blowout ...

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S&P 500 Futures Retreat from 6,000 Milestone as Post-Election Rally Eases

 

Premarket Update: The S&P 500 futures have dipped below the 6,000-point mark, cooling off after a significant rally driven by Donald Trump’s presidential election victory and a recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

On Thursday, the S&P 500 futures surpassed the 6,000 milestone for the first time, buoyed by expectations of a more business-friendly regulatory environment under Trump’s administration and the Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut. However, the momentum has slowed as traders digest the implications of Trump’s proposed fiscal policies, which include expansive spending plans and potential tariff hikes.

Despite the slight pullback, the overall market sentiment remains positive. The Dow and S&P 500 are on track for their best week in nearly a year, while the Nasdaq is set for its best performance in two months. Investors are also keeping an eye on upcoming economic data, including the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey for November and a speech by Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman.

Michael Brown, a senior research strategist at Pepperstone, noted that strong earnings and economic growth, coupled with the Fed’s supportive stance, are expected to continue driving the market higher in the medium term. However, the path forward may be complicated by inflationary pressures stemming from Trump’s fiscal policies.

As the market adjusts to the new political landscape, traders have trimmed expectations for further rate cuts next year, leading to a rise in bond yields. The immediate impact on Wall Street has been relatively muted, with all three major indexes closing around record highs on Thursday.


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