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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...
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Stock Market Pauses Near Records Ahead of Key Inflation Data

                                       

US stocks paused near record highs on Wednesday as investors awaited a crucial inflation report. The S&P 500 futures (ES=F) and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) were little changed, coming off fresh all-time highs. Meanwhile, contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) fell 0.3%.

The market is on edge as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, is set to be released. Economists expect the "core" PCE, which excludes food and energy, to have risen to 2.8% in October from 2.7% in September. A print matching those expectations could dampen hopes for a rate cut in December.

Investors are also keeping an eye on updates on third-quarter GDP, durable goods data, and initial jobless claims. The mood is somewhat muted as the market winds down for the Thanksgiving holiday, with markets set to close early on Friday.

On the corporate front, Dell (DELL) shares plunged over 10% after quarterly revenue fell short amid declining PC demand. Peer HP (HPQ) also saw its stock drop 8% post-earnings. Automakers General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) were hit hard by Trump's tariff threats, with GM losing 9% and Ford dropping 3%.

As the market awaits the inflation data, the question remains: will inflation have stalled, as some officials believe, or will it continue to rise, complicating the Fed's path forward?




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