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5 Things to Know Today: US Import Ban, Oil Tops $100, TSX Slides, ECB Hikes

  September 10, 2026 A big trade-war escalation, a return of $100 oil, a wobbly TSX, and a central bank on the move overseas — here's what's moving markets and your wallet this morning. 1. Washington Bans Canadian Alcohol, Dairy Ingredients and Motorcycles The trade war jumped up another notch Tuesday night. The White House issued executive orders banning imports of most Canadian alcoholic beverages — beer, wine, whisky, vodka, rum, tequila and more — along with whey protein, molasses and non-alcoholic beer, plus Canadian-made motorcycles. The bans take effect September 29. Several cheese products were added to the existing 50% tariff list rather than banned outright, and Trump's threat to raise auto tariffs from 25% to 50% on January 1 remains on the table. The move follows Canada's own $27.6-billion retaliation tariffs, which took effect at midnight Tuesday. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc called the U.S. measures "unjustified." What it means for you: This m...

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Trump’s Re-election Sends Canadian Dollar to Four-Year Low

 

The re-election of Donald Trump has significantly impacted the currency markets, with the Canadian dollar (loonie) falling to a four-year low against the U.S. dollar. This phenomenon, often referred to as the “Trump trade,” has seen the loonie drop around 2% since the election and approximately 4% since September, when financial markets began anticipating Trump’s return to the White House.

The primary driver behind this decline is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, bolstered by expectations of Trump’s economic policies, which include tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and deregulation. These policies are anticipated to boost U.S. economic growth, increase the government deficit, and fuel inflation, leading to higher U.S. interest rates and a surging equity market.

For Canada, the weaker loonie has mixed implications. On one hand, it makes Canadian exports more competitive, potentially benefiting exporters. On the other hand, it raises the cost of imported goods, impacting Canadian consumers who will face higher prices for products coming from the U.S. The Bank of Canada has also been cutting interest rates faster than the U.S. Federal Reserve to stave off a recession, further contributing to the loonie’s decline.

Overall, the “Trump trade” underscores the interconnectedness of global economies and the significant influence of U.S. economic policies on international markets.


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