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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Cheers Trump’s Treasury Pick, Stocks Rise

                                    

U.S. stocks saw a significant rise on Thursday as Wall Street reacted positively to President-elect Donald Trump's announcement of his Treasury Secretary pick, hedge fund manager Scott Bessent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 461 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also posted gains.

Investors welcomed Bessent's nomination, viewing it as a sign of stability and a potential boost to economic policies. The market's optimism was further fueled by strong earnings reports from companies like Nvidia, which exceeded profit and revenue expectations.

As the market continues to react to Trump's cabinet selections, all eyes will be on upcoming retail earnings reports and other economic indicators to gauge the future direction of the stock market.



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