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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Canada Post Proposes New Framework to End Strike and Reach Agreement


Canada Post has recently presented a comprehensive framework to the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) in an effort to resolve the ongoing strike and reach a negotiated agreement. The framework includes proposals aimed at increasing flexibility in the delivery model and addressing key issues in the labor dispute.

The strike, which began over two weeks ago, has been affecting the timely delivery of mail and parcels, especially as the holiday season approaches. The union is currently reviewing the framework documents, and both parties have adjusted their demands in hopes of restarting negotiations.

Federal Labour Minister Steven MacKinnon has emphasized the need for both sides to make sufficient modifications to their positions before mediation can resume. Canada Post remains committed to negotiating new collective agreements that will provide certainty for both employees and customers.

The union has expressed concerns that the framework does not fully consider the labour minister's comments about the agreement needing to be "ratifiable." However, there is hope that with the support of mediators, discussions can be reignited and a final agreement can be reached.

Canada Post has stated that it will not provide further details on the framework outside of the negotiations to facilitate talks. The corporation acknowledges the impact the strike is having on Canadians and remains dedicated to resolving the dispute.






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