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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Icy Monday Ahead: Freezing Rain Threatens Ontario's Commutes


As southern Ontario braces for a pattern change, commuters should be wary of freezing rain that is expected to make roads slippery on Monday. Warmer air moving into the region will clash with stubborn cold air near the surface, creating conditions ripe for ice formation.


Areas at Highest Risk:

- Northern Greater Toronto Area (GTA)

- Cottage country

- Eastern Ontario, including Orangeville, Barrie, and Peterborough


Timing:

- Ice accretion will coincide with the morning commute and continue into the early afternoon before transitioning to rain.

- Central Ontario and the Nickel Belt may experience icing through the evening, potentially turning back to snow.


Precautions:

- Expect slow and messy commutes due to slippery road conditions.

- Environment and Climate Change Canada has issued widespread freezing rain warnings.


Stay tuned to local weather updates and drive safely!



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