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Canada's Economy Just Grew 3.3% — Here's Why That Makes a September Rate Cut Even Less Likely

  Published August 29, 2026 If you've been holding out hope that a slowing economy might finally push the Bank of Canada toward a rate cut, Friday's numbers just closed that door a little further. Statistics Canada reported that the Canadian economy grew at an annualized pace of 3.3% in the second quarter — the fastest rate since 2023 — and revised figures show the first quarter expanded 0.3% rather than shrinking as originally reported. That confirms Canada never actually slid into a technical recession this year. It's good news for the economy. It's less good news if you were counting on lower borrowing costs anytime soon. What actually drove the growth The rebound was broad-based. Exports posted their strongest performance in 39 months, business investment in factories, equipment and commercial real estate jumped, and consumer spending held up as well. On a per-person basis, output grew at a 3.8% annualized clip — the quickest pace since late 2021, even with Canada...
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Differing Reactions: Mexico Shows Commitment While Canada Misreads Tariff Mandate

 

The White House has observed a stark contrast in responses to President Trump’s latest tariff order. In official remarks on Monday, senior economic adviser Kevin Hassett noted that Mexico has demonstrated a “very, very serious” approach to meeting the conditions outlined in the executive order. In contrast, Canadian officials and commentators have interpreted the tariff imposition as the start of an all-out trade war.

The tariffs—imposed on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China—are part of a broader U.S. strategy aimed at curbing illegal immigration and the flow of fentanyl into the country. Hassett stressed that while the measures are designed to pressure trading partners to address these issues, “Canadians appear to have misunderstood the plain language of the executive order,” suggesting that Canada’s reaction is disproportionate compared with Mexico’s measured response.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, for her part, has maintained a calm and pragmatic stance, indicating readiness to negotiate and implement additional steps if required. U.S. officials believe that this cooperative posture could help de-escalate tensions and set the stage for further discussions.

Critics on both sides warn that misinterpretations and overreactions could have serious economic repercussions. As the debate over tariffs continues, the administration appears keen to highlight Mexico’s commitment as a model of compliance—contrasted sharply against what it views as Canada’s excessive alarm.


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