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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Mark Carney: Quebec's Unlikely Contender

In the bustling political landscape of Quebec, Mark Carney has emerged as a figure who defies conventional expectations. Known for his financial acumen and international reputation, Carney's transition into politics has been met with both skepticism and intrigue. Yet, as the race intensifies, voters appear willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.

Carney's appeal lies in his ability to connect with diverse audiences, blending his expertise with a relatable demeanor. His campaign has focused on addressing economic disparities and fostering unity in a province often marked by linguistic and cultural divides. While critics question his lack of political experience, supporters argue that his fresh perspective is precisely what Quebec needs.

As election day approaches, Carney's journey serves as a reminder that in politics, adaptability and authenticity can sometimes outweigh traditional credentials. Whether he succeeds or not, his candidacy has undoubtedly added a unique dynamic to Quebec's political narrative.




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