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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Market Rebound: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Inch Higher Amid Tariff Relief Hopes

                                           

 U.S. stock futures edg    ed higher on Wednesday, signaling a potential rebound from recent sharp sell-offs. Investors are hopeful that President Donald Trump may soon scale back his new tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This optimism comes after Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested that an existing Trump trade deal could provide a pathway to relief on some imports for these countries as early as Wednesday.

Futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both rose around 0.1%, while contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.3%. However, a soft print on labor-market hiring revived worries about a potential economic slowdown. Data from ADP showed that private-sector companies added just 77,000 jobs in February, significantly below economist expectations.

President Trump, in an address to Congress, acknowledged the current economic discomfort but reassured markets by stating, "There'll be a little disturbance, but we're OK with that. It won't be much". The S&P 500 hit its lowest level in four months on Tuesday, erasing all of its post-election gains, amid retaliation to Trump's implementation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and doubling duties on China.

As the market awaits further developments, investors remain cautious but hopeful for a resolution that could stabilize the economic landscape.



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