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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Mass Evacuation Ordered in Rafah Amid Escalating Conflict

 

The Israeli military has issued an urgent evacuation order for residents of the Tel al-Sultan neighborhood in Rafah, located in the southern Gaza Strip. This directive comes amidst intensified military operations in the region, which have already caused widespread destruction and displacement.

Thousands of Palestinians were seen fleeing their homes, carrying minimal belongings as they moved on foot toward al-Mawasi, a coastal area hosting makeshift tent camps. The evacuation follows heavy bombardments that have left the neighborhood in ruins, with reports of casualties and injuries mounting. The humanitarian situation in Gaza continues to deteriorate, with the territory officially entering the first stage of famine due to prolonged border closures.

The evacuation order has further compounded the suffering of Gaza's population, many of whom have been displaced multiple times during the ongoing conflict. The scenes of families walking through sand and mud under dire conditions highlight the urgent need for international intervention to address the escalating crisis. 

The situation remains volatile, with no immediate resolution in sight. The global community watches closely as the humanitarian toll rises in this war-torn region. 



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