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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Trump's Affection for Royals: A Potential Lifeline for UK Trade

In a recent interview, U.S. Vice President JD Vance hinted at a promising trade deal between the United States and the United Kingdom, attributing the potential breakthrough to President Donald Trump's admiration for the British royal family. Vance emphasized the cultural and historical ties between the two nations, suggesting that Trump's fondness for the monarchy could play a pivotal role in easing trade tensions.

The United States has imposed sweeping tariffs on imports, with British goods facing a 10% charge and steel and car exports enduring a 25% rate. Despite these challenges, Vance expressed optimism about reaching a mutually beneficial agreement, citing the balanced trade relationship between the two countries. He also highlighted the reciprocal nature of U.S.-UK trade, contrasting it with the more restrictive policies of other European nations.

As negotiations continue, the cultural affinity and shared values between the U.S. and UK may prove to be a unique advantage in navigating global trade tensions. Vance's comments underscore the importance of diplomacy and personal connections in shaping international relations. 



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