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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Fragile Ceasefire: Russia and Ukraine Exchange Blows Amid Minerals Deal Ratification

Despite a Moscow-declared 72-hour ceasefire, both Russia and Ukraine reported attacks on their forces, casting doubt on the truce’s effectiveness. The ceasefire, announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin, coincides with the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s victory over Nazi Germany. However, Ukrainian officials accused Russia of violating its own ceasefire hundreds of times within the first few hours.  

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s parliament unanimously ratified a landmark minerals deal with the United States, a move expected to deepen strategic ties and facilitate reconstruction efforts. The agreement grants Washington access to Ukraine’s largely untapped mineral resources and establishes a joint investment fund for rebuilding the war-torn nation.  

Despite the ceasefire, Russian bombs struck northeastern Ukraine, killing at least one civilian, while artillery assaults continued along the 1,000-kilometer front line. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha condemned the ceasefire as a “farce,” citing ongoing Russian assault operations.  

As tensions persist, Putin welcomed Chinese President Xi Jinping to Moscow, underscoring Russia’s diplomatic efforts amid the ongoing conflict. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, skeptical of the ceasefire, dismissed it as mere manipulation, arguing that it serves only to provide Putin with a peaceful backdrop for his Victory Day celebrations.  

With both sides exchanging accusations and hostilities continuing, the prospect of a lasting peace remains uncertain. The minerals deal, however, signals Ukraine’s commitment to strengthening its economic and strategic partnerships despite the ongoing war.

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