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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Escalation in the Shadows: Israel Strikes Tehran as Iran Renews Missile Assaults

In a dramatic escalation of hostilities, Israel launched targeted airstrikes on Iranian government facilities and the notorious Evin Prison in Tehran on Monday, responding to a fresh wave of missile and drone attacks from Iran. The strikes come amid heightened regional tensions following U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend.

According to Israeli defense officials, the strikes aimed at “military command centers” and infrastructure linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, including roads near the Fordo nuclear facility to hinder access. One of the most symbolic targets was Evin Prison, known for housing political prisoners and dual nationals, which reportedly suffered damage to its main gate.

Iran, for its part, described its missile barrage as part of “Operation True Promise 3,” targeting Israeli cities including Haifa and Tel Aviv. Explosions were also reported in Jerusalem, though no major damage has been confirmed.

The United Nations nuclear watchdog warned of “very significant damage” at Iran’s Fordo facility following the U.S. strikes, raising fears of a broader conflict involving multiple global powers.

As both nations brace for potential retaliation, international leaders are urging restraint and a return to diplomacy. The European Union emphasized the urgent need to de-escalate, warning that the risk of a wider regional war is growing by the hour.

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