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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Manufacturing Slump Drags Canadian Economy into April Contraction

Canada’s economy contracted by 0.1% in April, according to Statistics Canada, marking a sharper-than-expected slowdown driven by widespread declines in the manufacturing sector.

Economists had anticipated flat growth for the month, but the downturn reflects mounting pressure across key industries. The manufacturing pullback was particularly notable, with sectors exposed to global trade tensions and tariffs bearing the brunt. This follows a modest 0.1% GDP increase in March, suggesting a reversal in momentum.

The data also casts a shadow over May, with preliminary estimates pointing to another month of contraction. Analysts are now watching closely for the Bank of Canada’s next move, as speculation grows around a potential rate cut amid signs of economic softening.

While the decline is modest, it underscores the fragility of Canada’s recovery and the growing impact of external pressures on domestic output.

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