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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Hostage Fears Mount as Israeli Tanks Roll into Deir Al-Balah

 

Israeli tanks entered the southern and eastern sectors of Deir Al-Balah in central Gaza on Monday, marking the first ground incursion into the area since the conflict began. The move has sparked alarm among families of hostages believed to be held in the densely populated city, which is sheltering thousands of displaced Palestinians.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated that the operation targets Hamas militants and aims to dismantle terrorist infrastructure. However, the timing and location of the assault have raised concerns, as Israeli intelligence suggests that at least 20 of the remaining 50 hostages in Gaza may be alive and possibly located in Deir Al-Balah.

Tank shelling reportedly struck eight homes and three mosques, killing at least three Palestinians and injuring several others. The bombardment forced dozens of families to flee westward toward the coast and nearby Khan Younis, where an earlier airstrike killed five civilians, including two children.

Humanitarian agencies warn that the escalation could further destabilize ceasefire negotiations mediated by Qatar and Egypt. Meanwhile, Gaza’s health ministry reports a worsening hunger crisis, with 19 deaths from starvation since Saturday and hospitals on the brink of collapse due to shortages of food, fuel, and medicine.

As the military campaign intensifies, families of hostages are demanding clarity on how their loved ones will be protected amid the chaos. The situation remains volatile, with growing international pressure to prioritize humanitarian aid and safeguard civilian lives.

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