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Tehran Signals Defiance as Supreme Leader Vows Retaliation and Strait Closure

  A man holds a picture of Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, while people attend a funeral ceremony for the Iranian military commanders who were killed in strikes, in Tehran Iran’s Supreme Leader issued his first public remarks following the deaths of senior Iranian commanders, vowing that the country will “avenge the martyrs” and maintain the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz until what he described as “justice” is served. His comments, delivered during a nationally broadcast address, underscore a sharp escalation in rhetoric at a moment of heightened regional tension. The Supreme Leader framed the recent losses as sacrifices in the defense of Iran’s sovereignty, promising that those responsible “will face consequences.” He also reaffirmed Iran’s decision to keep the Strait closed, a move that has already disrupted global shipping routes and rattled energy markets. The strait, one of the world’s most critical chokepoints for oil transport, has long been a flas...
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Tariffs Ignite Inflation Surge as Fed Faces Tough Choices

 

U.S. Inflation Accelerates in June, Validating Fed Concerns

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% in June, marking the largest monthly increase since January and pushing the annual inflation rate to 2.7%, up from 2.4% in May. This uptick is widely seen as the beginning of a tariff-driven inflation wave, confirming long-standing concerns from Federal Reserve officials.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, climbed 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, indicating that price pressures are broadening beyond energy costs. Economists attribute the rise to higher prices on imported goods such as electronics, furniture, and recreational items—sectors heavily impacted by recent tariffs.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had previously warned that the summer months would reveal whether tariffs imposed by the Trump administration would translate into sustained inflation. With new levies set to take effect on August 1 targeting imports from Mexico, Canada, the EU, and others, analysts expect inflation to remain elevated through the second half of 2025.

Despite the inflationary trend, the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady at its July meeting, maintaining the current range of 4.25%–4.50%. However, the path forward remains uncertain. While some policymakers advocate caution, others suggest that persistent inflation could delay any potential rate cuts until later in the year.

As businesses begin to pass on tariff costs to consumers, the Fed faces a delicate balancing act: curbing inflation without stifling economic growth. The coming months will be critical in shaping the central bank’s next move.

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