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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Wall Street Rises as Trade Negotiations Offer Market Calm

Wall Street edged higher in premarket trading on Wednesday, buoyed by investor optimism surrounding ongoing trade negotiations. The Trump administration’s recent extension of tariff deadlines to August 1 has eased immediate market anxieties, allowing traders to refocus on earnings and economic data.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow futures all posted modest gains, with the Dow E-minis up 127 points and Nasdaq E-minis rising 47.25 points. This uptick follows a volatile stretch triggered by sweeping tariff threats aimed at key U.S. trading partners, including Japan and South Korea.

 “Markets have gotten used to how Trump negotiates,” said Ross Bramwell, strategist at Homrich Berg, noting that investors are now betting on a softer outcome from the aggressive opening stance.

Meanwhile, European and Asian markets showed mixed reactions. Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi posted gains, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped amid uncertainty over China’s response.

Investors are also eyeing the Federal Reserve’s June meeting minutes, set for release later today, for clues on future rate policy. With a September rate cut still on the table, market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.

Stay tuned—earnings season kicks off tomorrow, and the next wave of economic data could shift the tone once again.

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