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Bank of Canada Poised for Rate Cut as Trade Pressures Weigh on Economy
The Bank of Canada is widely expected to lower its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% today, marking its first cut since March, as slowing growth and rising unemployment overshadow inflation concerns.
Economists say the move is driven by a combination of weak second-quarter GDP, which contracted 1.6%, and job losses exceeding 100,000 over July and August, pushing unemployment to 7.1%. The removal of many retaliatory tariffs earlier this month has eased some price pressures, with August inflation holding at 1.9%, just below the central bank’s 2% target.
U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports have further strained trade flows, prompting policymakers to act pre-emptively to support growth. Markets are already pricing in the likelihood of another cut at the Bank’s October meeting if economic slack persists.
Governor Tiff Macklem will outline the Bank’s outlook at a press conference following the decision, with investors watching closely for signals on the pace of further easing.
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