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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Nepal Appoints First Female Interim Prime Minister Amid Turmoil, Sets March 2026 Elections

 

Newly sworn-in interim Prime Minister, Sushila Karki, arrives at a hospital to meet the victims of Monday’s deadly anti-corruption protests, in Kathmandu.

Nepal has entered a new political chapter after President Ramchandra Paudel dissolved parliament and scheduled fresh elections for March 5, 2026, following a week of violent unrest that left at least 51 people dead.

The upheaval, driven largely by Gen Z-led anti-corruption protests, began over a controversial social media ban but quickly evolved into a broader movement against political nepotism and economic inequality. Demonstrators set fire to government buildings, including parliament, and forced Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli to resign on September 9.

In a historic move, former Chief Justice Sushila Karki, 73, was sworn in as Nepal’s first woman prime minister to lead an interim government. Known for her strong anti-corruption stance during her tenure as chief justice, Karki’s appointment came after intense negotiations between the president, army chief, and protest leaders.

The military, which imposed a strict curfew during the unrest, has begun easing restrictions as the capital, Kathmandu, shows signs of returning to normalcy. However, political uncertainty remains high, with critics calling the dissolution of parliament “unconstitutional” and warning of further instability before the March polls.


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