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Bank of Canada Warns of Tepid Growth and Fragile Job Market Before Rate Call
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem signaled that Canada’s economy is set for only modest growth in the months ahead, while the labor market shows signs of strain. Speaking in Washington ahead of the central bank’s next interest rate decision, Macklem described the outlook as “soft,” citing weak business investment, sluggish exports, and uncertainty in hiring trends.
Recent data showed the economy contracted at an annualized pace of 1.6% in the second quarter, largely due to falling exports. While some rebound is expected in the latter half of the year, Macklem cautioned that growth will likely hover near 1%—below the economy’s potential.
On jobs, Macklem noted that despite a gain of more than 60,000 positions in September, the labor market remains fragile, with unemployment rising to 7.1% from 6.6% earlier this year. He characterized the employment picture as “volatile,” underscoring the challenges facing households and businesses.
The Bank of Canada has already cut its benchmark rate to 2.5% in September to counter slowing momentum. Policymakers now face a delicate balance: supporting growth without reigniting inflationary pressures.
As Macklem put it, restoring productivity and competitiveness will be key to lifting incomes and sustaining long-term prosperity.
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