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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Issues Sunday Deadline for Hamas to Accept Gaza Deal

 

Smoke rises during an Israeli military operation in Gaza City, as seen from the central Gaza Strip, October 2, 2025. 

President Donald Trump has given Hamas until 6 p.m. Washington time on Sunday to accept his proposed plan for Gaza, warning that failure to do so will trigger consequences he described as “all HELL, like no one has ever seen before”.

The ultimatum follows Trump’s unveiling of a 20-point peace framework, endorsed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and backed by several Arab and European nations. The plan calls for:

  • An immediate ceasefire
  • The release of all hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners in Israel
  • A phased Israeli withdrawal from Gaza
  • The disarmament of Hamas
  • The creation of a transitional governing body overseen by an international coalition

Hamas officials have not yet issued a final response, though discussions with mediators from Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey are ongoing. The group has historically rejected demands to disarm, making acceptance of the plan uncertain.

Trump, expressing frustration at the lack of progress, insisted that “every country has signed on” and urged “innocent Palestinians” to move to safer areas of Gaza ahead of potential escalation.

The deadline underscores the mounting pressure on Hamas as the conflict nears its two-year mark, with international mediators warning that the window for a negotiated settlement is rapidly closing.


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