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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Wall Street Pauses as Oil Surges and Tesla Stumbles

 

U.S. stocks stalled on Thursday as investors weighed a sharp rise in oil prices against a wave of fresh corporate earnings. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 hovered near the flat line, while the Nasdaq 100 also showed little movement.

Energy markets took center stage after oil futures jumped more than 5% following new U.S. sanctions on Russian producers, pushing Brent crude toward $66 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate closer to $62. The surge added pressure to inflation concerns already weighing on Wall Street.

On the corporate front, Tesla shares slipped over 3% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle maker posted mixed third-quarter results, disappointing investors and kicking off the “Magnificent Seven” earnings cycle. IBM stock also dropped about 7%, as stronger-than-expected profits were overshadowed by weaker software revenue.

Traders are now awaiting results from American Airlines and T-Mobile, with Intel set to report after the closing bell. The cautious tone reflects a market balancing geopolitical risks, commodity shocks, and uneven earnings performance.


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