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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Tightens Grip on GOP Election Playbook

 U.S. President Donald Trump salutes during a Veterans Day ceremony at Arlington National Cemetery in Virginia. 


Former President Donald Trump has moved decisively to assert control over Republican election strategy as the 2026 campaign season intensifies. Party insiders say Trump’s influence now extends beyond candidate endorsements to the very mechanics of how Republicans plan to mobilize voters, allocate resources, and frame their messaging.

At the heart of this shift is Trump’s insistence on loyalty and alignment with his agenda, which has reshaped the priorities of the Republican National Committee. Strategists note that Trump’s direct involvement could unify the party’s base but also risks alienating moderates who remain wary of his polarizing style.

Republican operatives are recalibrating their ground game to reflect Trump’s priorities, focusing heavily on battleground states and issues that resonate with his supporters. With his presidency on the line, Trump’s takeover of the GOP’s election machinery underscores both his dominance within the party and the high stakes of the upcoming contests.


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