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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Europe at a Crossroads: Trump’s Stark Warning in Davos

                                    A lit up sign put up over Davos ahead of President Trumps arrival

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump delivered a pointed critique of Europe’s current trajectory, arguing that the continent is “heading in the wrong direction.” His remarks added a sharper edge to a summit already defined by global uncertainty and competing visions for the future.

Trump’s comments focused on what he described as Europe’s economic stagnation, political fragmentation, and policy choices around migration and energy. He suggested that these decisions were weakening Europe’s long‑term stability and diminishing its global influence. Framing the issue in broader terms, he emphasized that global prosperity is closely tied to American economic strength, asserting that a strong United States remains essential for worldwide growth.

European leaders, speaking throughout the forum, offered a contrasting message. Many highlighted new trade initiatives, climate‑driven economic reforms, and efforts to strengthen strategic autonomy — signaling a desire to chart a more independent path on the world stage.

The exchange underscored a widening philosophical divide: Europe leaning into multilateral cooperation and long‑term transformation, and Trump reaffirming a more nationalist, America‑first approach. As the Davos discussions continue, the question looming over the Alpine gathering is whether these diverging visions can be reconciled or whether the transatlantic rift will deepen.


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