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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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High‑Stakes Diplomacy: Iran and U.S. Seek Off‑Ramp in Oman Talks

 

                                          People walk past an anti-US mural on a street in Tehran

Iranian and U.S. negotiators convened in Oman this week for what officials on both sides quietly described as a pivotal round of indirect talks, aimed at easing a rapidly escalating confrontation across the Middle East. The discussions come amid heightened tensions following regional attacks, tightening sanctions, and growing fears that miscalculation could trigger a broader conflict.

Omani mediators, long trusted by both Tehran and Washington, are working to bridge gaps on issues ranging from nuclear activity to regional militia operations. While neither side has publicly confirmed major breakthroughs, diplomats familiar with the talks say the urgency is unmistakable: both countries appear eager to avoid a slide into open confrontation, even as they maintain firm public postures.

Analysts note that Oman has historically served as a discreet venue for sensitive U.S.–Iran diplomacy, including early contacts that paved the way for the 2015 nuclear agreement. Whether this latest effort can produce similar momentum remains uncertain, but the stakes are undeniably high. For now, the world watches closely as quiet conversations in Muscat attempt to steer two long‑time adversaries away from the brink.


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