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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Jeneroux’s Defection Pushes Carney Closer to Majority

                                           MP Matt Jeneroux


Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government has moved one seat nearer to a majority after Edmonton MP Matt Jeneroux crossed the floor from the Conservatives to join the governing caucus. Jeneroux, who had previously announced plans to resign, instead opted to align himself with Carney’s agenda, becoming the latest in a string of Conservative MPs to defect.

Carney welcomed Jeneroux publicly, highlighting his experience and announcing that the Alberta MP will serve as a special adviser on economic and security partnerships. The move spares the government a byelection in Edmonton and adds further momentum to the Liberals’ recent gains, which have included multiple high‑profile floor crossings. 

Jeneroux’s decision underscores shifting political dynamics in Ottawa, where the Liberals are steadily tightening their grip on the House of Commons. While still short of a majority, each new defection strengthens Carney’s position and raises fresh questions about Conservative caucus unity.

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