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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Moves to Impose 10% Global Tariff After Court Setback

                                            U.S. President Donald Trump

In the wake of a major Supreme Court defeat, President Donald Trump announced that he will sign an executive order to impose a 10% global tariff on U.S. trading partners. The move comes just hours after the Court struck down his earlier sweeping tariff measures, ruling 6–3 that he had exceeded his authority under emergency powers. 

Trump said the new tariff will be enacted under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows temporary trade measures to address balance‑of‑payments issues. He emphasized that the tariff would be added “over and above” existing duties, signaling his intent to continue pursuing aggressive trade policies despite the legal setback. 

Defiant in tone, Trump insisted that the ruling would not constrain his ability to impose tariffs through other legal avenues. He framed the new measure as both a workaround and a continuation of his broader trade agenda, which has faced repeated challenges in the courts.

The executive order is expected to take effect immediately and may remain in place for up to 150 days, depending on how the administration applies the statute. 

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