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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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UK Retailers Brace for Turbulence as Rising Costs Trigger Job Fears

 


British retailers are sounding the alarm as soaring operational costs push many toward difficult staffing decisions. According to industry groups, a growing number of shops are preparing for job cuts, hiring freezes, and reduced investment as they struggle to absorb higher wage bills, energy prices, and supply-chain expenses.

Retailers say the pressure has intensified over the past year, with smaller businesses hit hardest. Many report that rising costs have outpaced sales growth, leaving them with shrinking margins and limited room to maneuver. Some chains have already paused recruitment, while others warn that layoffs may be unavoidable if economic conditions fail to improve.

Industry leaders argue that without targeted government support—such as business rate reform or relief on energy costs—more shops could be forced to scale back operations. They caution that this could have a ripple effect across the wider economy, particularly in town centres where retail remains a major employer.

Despite the challenges, some retailers remain cautiously optimistic that stabilizing inflation and improving consumer confidence could ease the strain later in the year. For now, however, the sector is bracing for a difficult period as it navigates one of the toughest cost environments in recent memory.

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