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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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US and India Seal Major Trade Pact as Tariffs Fall and Energy Ties Shift

                              US President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi 

The United States and India have reached a significant new trade agreement that lowers U.S. tariffs on Indian goods to 18%, marking a major step toward easing recent economic frictions. In a reciprocal move, India has agreed to phase out its purchases of Russian oil, a longstanding point of tension in its relations with Washington.

The deal signals a strategic realignment for both nations. India, one of the world’s largest energy importers, will begin redirecting its oil sourcing toward alternative suppliers, including the United States. Meanwhile, reduced tariffs are expected to boost Indian exports and strengthen commercial ties between the two economies.

The announcement has already generated optimism among investors and industry groups, who anticipate smoother trade flows and expanded market access. For both countries, the agreement represents not just an economic shift but a deepening of their broader geopolitical partnership.


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