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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Washington Braces for Extended Military Standoff With Iran

 

US officials said on Friday the Pentagon was sending Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carrier to the Middle East.


The United States military is preparing for the possibility of a prolonged campaign against Iran as tensions continue to rise across the region. Defense officials have indicated that any potential operation may extend over several weeks, reflecting concerns that a limited strike could quickly escalate into a broader conflict.

Military planners have reportedly been reviewing a range of scenarios, including sustained air operations and the deployment of additional assets to the Middle East. The preparations underscore Washington’s belief that Iran could respond forcefully to any U.S. action, potentially drawing neighboring countries into the confrontation.

While diplomatic channels remain open, recent developments have heightened uncertainty. U.S. leaders have emphasized that they prefer a de‑escalation but maintain that military options remain available if necessary. Analysts warn that a prolonged exchange between the two nations could destabilize an already volatile region and carry significant risks for both sides.

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