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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Deadly Night in Kharkiv as Russian Strikes Devastate Residential Areas

                                Rescuers work at the site of an apartment building hit by a Russian missile strike.

Russia launched a wave of drones and missiles across Ukraine overnight, with Kharkiv suffering some of the deadliest impacts. At least seven people, including children, were killed when a missile struck a five‑story residential building in the city. Emergency crews battled fires and searched through rubble as officials reported at least 10 additional injuries. 

The attack triggered a nationwide air‑raid alert as ballistic missiles and drones targeted multiple regions. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the strikes and called for a stronger international response. Local authorities described widespread damage to infrastructure and residential areas, underscoring the continued intensity of Russia’s campaign. 

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