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Ottawa's Parliament Hill, where the Carney government is rolling out Canada's largest fiscal stimulus package since 1980. / Photo: Unsplash. MoneySavings.ca  ·  Economy & Policy Monday, April 13, 2026  ·  Daily Edition Canada at a crossroads: oil shock, frozen rates, and a trade deal on the clock Canada's economy is navigating a uniquely complicated moment in 2026. A Middle East conflict has sent oil prices surging past US$104 a barrel, a once-in-a-generation fiscal stimulus package is being rolled out in Ottawa, and the clock is ticking on a renegotiation of Canada's most important trade agreement. For everyday Canadians, this means uncertainty at the gas pump, a central bank with limited room to cut rates, and a federal government betting big on public spending to kick-start growth. Here is what you need to know about the forces shaping the Canadian economy right now. 1. The Bank of Canada is stuck — and oil is why The Bank of Canada has held it...

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Geopolitical Tensions Shake U.S. Futures as Oil Volatility Rises

 


Markets pulled back as geopolitical tensions and volatile oil prices weighed on investor sentiment, with futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all retreating. Oil’s swings—driven by concerns over potential U.S. action involving a key Iranian island—added pressure to an already cautious trading environment.

Short Market Update

U.S. stock futures slipped early Friday as investors reacted to renewed geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell around 0.2%, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.4%. The Nasdaq 100 retreated roughly 0.5%, extending Thursday’s declines. 

A report suggesting the U.S. may attempt to take control of Kharg Island, a critical hub for Iran’s oil exports, intensified market unease. Such a move could aim to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route, but also risks escalating tensions. 

Oil prices, which had been swinging sharply, steadied but remained a central driver of market sentiment. Investors continue to weigh how prolonged conflict in the Middle East might affect global supply chains, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy expectations. 


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