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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...

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Hezbollah Suffers Heavy Losses as Conflict With Israel Intensifies

 

A person raising a portrait of late Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah during a demonstration in support of Hezbollah and Iran in Beirut on March 27.

More than 400 Hezbollah fighters have been killed since the group launched attacks against Israel on March 2, marking the first comprehensive casualty count in the latest escalation. Israeli forces claim an even higher toll, underscoring the intensity of the conflict. 

More than 400 Hezbollah fighters have been killed since the Lebanese armed group initiated a new round of hostilities with Israel on March 2, according to sources familiar with the organization’s internal tally. This marks the first overall death toll released amid Israel’s expanding air and ground operations in Lebanon. 

Israel’s military reports an even higher figure, claiming it has eliminated at least 700 Hezbollah fighters, including members of the elite Radwan Force. The discrepancy highlights the fog of war and the difficulty of verifying battlefield losses. 

Lebanon’s health ministry states that Israeli strikes and ground operations have killed more than 1,100 people in total, including civilians, though it does not distinguish between combatants and non-combatants. Meanwhile, Israel has reported several military casualties of its own as fighting continues in southern Lebanon. 

The conflict marks the most significant escalation since the 2023–2024 war, during which Hezbollah reported losing around 5,000 fighters. With both sides sustaining losses and no clear end in sight, regional tensions continue to rise. 

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