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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Houthis Signal Readiness for Iran Conflict, Heightening Global Shipping Fears Article

Houthi activists burn US and Israeli flags during a demonstration in solidarity with Iran and Lebanon, in Sanaa, Yemen.


Yemen’s Iran‑aligned Houthi movement has declared it is prepared to join the escalating conflict involving Iran, a move that could further destabilize global shipping routes and intensify economic pressures. A senior Houthi figure told Reuters the group is “fully militarily ready with all options,” noting that any decision to act would depend on developments in the wider regional war. 

The Houthis, who previously disrupted Red Sea traffic during the Gaza conflict, may once again target the Bab al‑Mandab Strait—one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. The narrow passage connects the Red Sea to the Suez Canal, and renewed attacks could deepen the global oil and trade crisis already triggered by the Middle East conflict.

Analysts suggest the group may be waiting for a strategic moment to open a new front in coordination with Iran, especially as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has shifted more shipping reliance toward the Red Sea. Iran has also hinted at the possibility of expanding the conflict to Bab al‑Mandab if its territory or islands come under attack. 

The Houthis’ potential involvement adds another layer of volatility to an already unstable region, raising concerns among global markets and maritime operators who fear further disruptions to vital supply chains. 


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