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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Markets Rally as Trump Shows Flexibility on Hormuz, Easing Geopolitical Fears

 


US markets climbed as investors reacted positively to President Trump’s signals that he may be open to ending the Iran conflict without requiring a full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing some geopolitical tension and boosting sentiment. 

U.S. stock indexes rose on Tuesday after President Trump indicated he might be willing to end the war in Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains partially closed. The comments, shared with administration officials and echoed in a social media post, helped lift investor sentiment following weeks of volatility driven by Middle East tensions. 

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all advanced by around 1%, reflecting renewed optimism that a de-escalation could stabilize global energy markets. The shift in tone comes after Trump suggested that Iran had been “decimated” and urged other nations to secure their own oil supplies—remarks that had previously fueled uncertainty. 

Despite the market rebound, risks remain. Oil prices continue to hover above $100 per barrel, and the CBOE Volatility Index recently spiked above 30, signaling persistent anxiety. Investors now look ahead to upcoming economic data, including consumer confidence and job openings, for further clues about the health of the U.S. economy.

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