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BoC Opens the Door to Rate Hikes: What It Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 4, 2026 The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh straight hold — but Governor Tiff Macklem didn't sound like a central banker done for the year. He told reporters the Bank is "prepared to raise interest rates, and if it takes more than one increase, we're prepared to do that," if inflation stays too high. That's a real shift in tone, and it lands right as a wave of Canadians hit their mortgage renewal date. Here's what changed, who's forecasting what, and what it actually means for your payment. Why the Bank Suddenly Sounds Hawkish Canada's annual inflation rate has climbed to around 3% — a full point above the Bank's 2% target — and the Bank is pointing squarely at energy prices. Oil has stayed elevated because of the Iran conflict and disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing gas prices up and dragging headline CPI with it. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is still s...
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New Tensions Rise as Iran Warns of Possible Strikes on Regional Energy Sites

 


Iran has issued a sharp warning that it may target regional energy infrastructure following recent threats from U.S. President Donald Trump over the Strait of Hormuz. The exchange marks a renewed escalation in a long‑running standoff over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints.

According to Iranian officials, any attempt to restrict Tehran’s access to the strait would be met with what they described as “direct and proportional” action. Energy facilities across the Gulf—central to global oil and gas supply—were specifically mentioned as potential targets if tensions continue to rise.

The Trump administration has repeatedly criticized Iran’s activities in the region, warning of consequences should Tehran interfere with international shipping. The latest remarks from Washington prompted Iran’s response, which framed its position as defensive and tied to national sovereignty.

Regional governments have expressed concern that even rhetorical escalation could unsettle global energy markets. Analysts note that while both sides have engaged in heated exchanges before, threats involving energy infrastructure carry particularly high stakes due to the potential impact on global supply chains.

For now, diplomatic channels remain strained, and observers are watching closely for signs of either de‑escalation or further confrontation.


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