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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Southern Lebanon Empties as Expanded Israeli Orders Deepen Regional Tensions


Large stretches of southern Lebanon have rapidly transformed into near‑empty landscapes after Israel broadened its evacuation orders, pushing tens of thousands of residents to flee northward. Communities that once bustled with daily life now resemble ghost towns, with shuttered shops, abandoned homes, and deserted streets marking the accelerating displacement.

The expanded evacuation zone follows intensified cross‑border exchanges between Israeli forces and Hezbollah, raising fears of a wider conflict. Lebanese officials warn that the growing humanitarian strain is overwhelming local infrastructure, as displaced families crowd into schools, public buildings, and relatives’ homes farther from the border.

Residents who left behind farms, businesses, and personal belongings describe the evacuation as both abrupt and emotionally wrenching. Many say they fear a prolonged crisis, uncertain when—or if—they will be able to return.

Regional observers note that the widening evacuation footprint signals a potentially dangerous escalation, with both sides showing little sign of easing hostilities. As diplomatic efforts struggle to gain traction, the emptied towns of southern Lebanon stand as stark evidence of a conflict edging closer to a broader confrontation.


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