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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Trump Vows ‘Very Hard’ Response Against Iran After Sanctions Shift on Russian Oil

 

Iranians take part in a protest marking the annual al-Quds Day (Jerusalem Day) on the last Friday of the holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran.


President Donald Trump announced that the United States will strike Iran “very hard over the next week,” a declaration that came shortly after his administration issued a partial 30‑day waiver allowing purchases of sanctioned Russian oil. The move, intended to ease soaring global energy prices amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, has drawn international scrutiny. 

The temporary easing of sanctions on Russian oil is part of a broader strategy to stabilize markets shaken by the ongoing Middle East war. Energy prices have surged and then fluctuated sharply in recent days, prompting the administration to adjust its approach to maintain supply and reduce economic pressure. 

Trump’s warning toward Iran signals a potential escalation in an already volatile regional conflict, even as the U.S. attempts to manage global energy disruptions. The dual strategy—loosening sanctions on Russia while preparing intensified action against Iran—highlights the administration’s effort to balance geopolitical pressure with economic stability.

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