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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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5 Things to Know Today: Key Money Headlines for Canadians



1. Spring Economic Update Lands Today

Finance Minister François‑Philippe Champagne tables the 2026 Spring Economic Update this afternoon, outlining Ottawa’s latest fiscal outlook and new measures aimed at supporting Canadians amid global instability.

2. Fuel Excise Tax Temporarily Suspended

Prime Minister Mark Carney has paused the federal excise tax on gas, diesel, and aviation fuel, offering short‑term relief as energy prices remain elevated due to geopolitical tensions. 

3. Canada’s First Sovereign Wealth Fund Announced

Carney has unveiled the Canada Strong Fund, the country’s first sovereign wealth fund, designed to finance major national infrastructure and economic‑building projects in partnership with the private sector. 

4. CPP & OAS Payments Arrive Today

New CPP and OAS payments are being issued today, including adjustments for seniors affected by recovery tax calculations, which are spread across monthly OAS payments. 

5. Global Instability Continues to Pressure Energy Markets

The federal update comes as global energy supply remains strained, with the U.S.–Israel conflict with Iran disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz — a key factor behind rising fuel costs. 


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