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BoC Opens the Door to Rate Hikes: What It Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 4, 2026 The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh straight hold — but Governor Tiff Macklem didn't sound like a central banker done for the year. He told reporters the Bank is "prepared to raise interest rates, and if it takes more than one increase, we're prepared to do that," if inflation stays too high. That's a real shift in tone, and it lands right as a wave of Canadians hit their mortgage renewal date. Here's what changed, who's forecasting what, and what it actually means for your payment. Why the Bank Suddenly Sounds Hawkish Canada's annual inflation rate has climbed to around 3% — a full point above the Bank's 2% target — and the Bank is pointing squarely at energy prices. Oil has stayed elevated because of the Iran conflict and disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing gas prices up and dragging headline CPI with it. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is still s...
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Markets Surge as Iran De‑Escalation Hopes Lift Wall Street to End Q1

 

U.S. stock futures climbed on Wednesday, extending a powerful rally that closed out the first quarter, as investors reacted to fresh signals of potential de‑escalation in the Iran conflict. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose between 0.4% and 0.7%, Nasdaq 100 contracts gained up to 0.7%, and Dow futures advanced around 0.4% to 0.7%, reflecting renewed optimism across markets. 

The upswing followed remarks from both U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, each indicating openness to reducing hostilities. Pezeshkian stated that Iran has “the necessary will to end this war,” while Trump suggested the conflict may not last “much longer,” even with the Strait of Hormuz still constrained. 

Tuesday’s session had already delivered the strongest single‑day gains in over a month for all three major indexes, fueled by easing oil prices and improving sentiment. Brent crude fell more than 2.9% to around $104 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate briefly dipped below $100 before recovering. 

Investors now turn their attention to a slate of early‑quarter economic data, including retail sales, private payrolls, and manufacturing activity reports. With geopolitical tensions showing signs of cooling and oil prices stabilizing, markets appear poised to enter Q2 with renewed momentum. 

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