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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...

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Security Council Faces Tensions as Hormuz Shipping Resolution Heads to Vote

 

The United Nations Security Council is preparing to vote on a Bahrain‑backed resolution aimed at safeguarding commercial shipping in and around the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil transit route currently disrupted by ongoing conflict. The draft resolution—finalized after multiple revisions—authorizes “all defensive means necessary” to protect vessels, but stops short of permitting offensive military action. 

China has firmly opposed any authorization of force, warning that such measures could legitimize unlawful military activity and escalate regional tensions. Russia and France also broke the Council’s “silence procedure,” prompting further revisions before the text was put “in blue,” meaning it is ready for a formal vote. 

Oil prices have surged since the U.S. and Israel struck Iran in late February, effectively closing the strategic waterway and intensifying global economic pressures. Bahrain, supported by Gulf Arab states and Washington, hopes the resolution will secure at least nine votes without triggering a veto from any of the five permanent members.

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