From the Bank of Canada's steady hand to a surge in housing starts and Ottawa's new financial crime-fighting agency — here are the five money stories every Canadian should have on their radar this morning.
Rate Holds at 2.25% — Next Decision June 10
The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on April 29 and has signalled it intends to stay put for now. Governing Council is keeping a close eye on Middle East conflict spillover into energy prices, ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, and whether inflation — currently hovering just above the 2% target — becomes entrenched. Bond markets are currently pricing in roughly an 18% chance of a 25-basis-point cut by the July 15 announcement, making a move at the June 10 meeting unlikely.
One Million Renewals in 2026 — Brace for Payment Shock
Over one million Canadian households are expected to renew their mortgages this year, many of them locking in at pandemic-era rates below 2%. Experts estimate that fixed-rate borrowers renewing in 2026 could face average monthly payment increases of around 20%, with approximately 33% of all Canadian mortgage holders set to see higher payments by year-end. Roughly 75% of those facing an increase are on five-year fixed terms that are now rolling over into today's higher-rate environment.
Housing Starts Jump to 279K in April — Supply Signals Positive
April housing starts came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 279,000 units, sharply higher than the 214,000 recorded in March — a significant beat that suggests Canada's construction pipeline is loosening up. Home sales nationally are also on an upward trajectory since March 2025, with CREA forecasting a 7.7% year-over-year increase in 2026 sales to around 509,000 units. Home affordability has improved modestly due to lower interest rates and cooling prices in some markets, though regional conditions remain uneven.
Canada Gets Its First Dedicated Financial Crimes Agency
The federal government's Spring Economic Update includes a proposal to create Canada's first-ever Financial Crimes Agency — a dedicated federal law enforcement body focused on tackling sophisticated fraud, money laundering, and illicit financial networks. The move follows a $1.7 billion commitment in Budget 2025 to strengthen the RCMP's response to transnational organized crime and financial crimes. Since 2019, Ottawa has invested close to $379 million in combatting financial crimes, and this new agency represents the next major escalation.
$1.5B Relief Package for Tariff-Hit Industries
The federal government has announced $1.5 billion to support industries hammered by U.S. tariffs on products containing steel, aluminum, and copper. This includes a new $1 billion Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) program designed to strengthen economic resilience for manufacturers and exporters in these sectors. An additional $500 million was allocated through the Regional Tariff Response Initiative. Separately, the Canada Growth Fund committed up to $145 million to expand Canada's largest operating lithium mine in Quebec — part of a broader $5 billion-plus portfolio of strategic investments.
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