Skip to main content

Featured

5 Things to Know Today: Oil Surges, Tariffs Land Tomorrow, Your Gas Tax Break Survives

  Monday, September 7, 2026 — Labour Day | Canadian Money Brief Markets are closed for the holiday, but the week ahead is loaded. Here are five things worth knowing before you head back to your desk tomorrow. 1. Oil Hits a Five-Week High as the Iran Conflict Escalates Crude climbed to $92.06 US/barrel on Saturday — up 17.75% over the past month and nearly 48% year over year — after Iran and the United States exchanged missile strikes this week. Israel's defence minister has threatened "crippling" attacks on Iran's energy infrastructure, the EU has formally joined the US-led sanctions campaign, and US Vice President JD Vance said Washington won't hold peace talks until Iran stops targeting ships in the Strait of Hormuz. What it means for you: Even with the federal gas tax break extended (see #4), pump prices track the price of crude itself. If your tank's getting low, filling up early this week may beat whatever the Strait of Hormuz situation does to prices by...

article

5 Things to Know Today: 2 Days to Tariffs, Jobs Data Splits, TSX Slips (Sept 6)

 

Sunday, September 6, 2026 — here's what actually moves your money this week.


1. TSX Snapped Its Rally Friday as a Blowout U.S. Jobs Report Reignited Fed Rate-Hike Bets

The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 36,513.80, down 119.32 points (-0.33%), giving back part of Thursday's 542-point surge. The reversal came after U.S. nonfarm payrolls jumped by 162,000 — roughly three times what economists expected — while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. That strong print pushed traders' odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike this month to around 65%, up from 55% before the data. Bank stocks and gold miners both took the hit: TD Bank fell 1%, Scotiabank slipped 0.9%, and Agnico Eagle, Barrick, and Wheaton Precious Metals all retreated as gold prices cooled.

What it means for you: A hotter U.S. economy can pull Canadian bond yields higher even when our own labour market is cooling. If you're locking in a mortgage rate this month, keep an eye on the Fed's September 16 decision — it can move Canadian fixed rates even though it's a U.S. announcement.

2. Canada Lost 41,700 Jobs in August — the Opposite of What the U.S. Just Reported

Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey showed employment fell by 41,700 in August, missing expectations for a 15,000 gain and reversing July's strong 75,100 increase. It's a soft number that would normally point toward rate cuts. Instead, after holding the policy rate at 2.25% on September 2 (the seventh straight hold), Governor Tiff Macklem reiterated that the Bank of Canada is prepared to raise rates if inflation — running near 3% — stays elevated.

What it means for you: A weakening job market paired with a central bank openly discussing hikes is an unusual combination. If you're carrying variable-rate debt, this isn't the cycle to assume relief is coming — build some rate-hike room into your budget.

3. Two Days Left: Canada's Retaliation Tariffs Now Cover $27.6 Billion and Roughly 700 U.S. Products

Ottawa's counter-tariffs take effect at 12:01 a.m. on September 8, matching the U.S.'s August 22 tariffs dollar for dollar. The finalized list is larger than first announced: $27.6 billion in U.S. imports across roughly 700 products, taxed at 15%, 25%, or 50% depending on the item. Steel and aluminum duties are doubling to 50%. Sectors hit include dairy, home appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, electronics, seafood, beauty and personal care items, and clothing. Goods already in transit to Canada on September 8 are exempt.

What it means for you: If you've been holding off on a U.S.-made appliance, TV stand's worth of electronics, or specialty cheese order, this is the last weekend before those prices move. Past Canadian counter-tariffs have added roughly 25% of the tariff rate onto shelf prices within weeks.

4. Carney Leans Into "Build Canadian" With a $4.7-Billion Via Rail Deal and a Trillion-Dollar Investment Pitch

On September 5, the Prime Minister announced new measures aimed at protecting and transforming Canada's strategic industries. This follows Thursday's announcement that Ottawa will spend $4.7 billion to build and maintain more than 300 Via Rail passenger cars domestically, using plants in Thunder Bay, Ontario and Quebec. It sets the stage for the Canada Investment Summit on September 14–15 in Toronto, where Carney and roughly 250 global financial executives — hosted alongside CPP Investments and PSP Investments — will pitch energy, critical minerals, defence, and technology projects as part of a push toward $1 trillion in investment over five years.

What it means for you: Manufacturing-region job creation is one thing to watch, but so is your portfolio — if you hold Canadian industrials or infrastructure funds, government-backed domestic manufacturing contracts are a theme likely to keep showing up through the fall.

5. Gas Tax Relief Just Got Extended to January 31, 2027

The federal fuel excise tax pause — 10 cents a litre off regular gas, 4 cents off diesel — was set to expire on Labour Day. Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne confirmed it will instead run in full until January 31, 2027, then phase back in at 50% through February and March before returning fully on April 1, 2027. The extension will cost Ottawa another $2.9 billion, bringing the total revenue given up to $5.3 billion for 2026–27. Ontario's matching provincial cut was already made permanent.

What it means for you: You've got clear runway on pump prices through the winter. Rather than letting that per-fill-up savings disappear into everyday spending, consider redirecting it — even $20-30 a month — toward a TFSA or an emergency fund before the tax phases back in next spring.


This article is for general information and is not personalized financial advice. Figures cross-verified against Reuters, Trading Economics, and government sources as of publication.

Comments