Canadian Money Brief | October 19, 2026 CFB Wainwright Fire: What We Know and How to Help Without Getting Scammed Four Canadian soldiers are dead and 39 people were hurt after a grass fire overtook a live-fire training exercise in Alberta. When tragedy hits, Canadians want to help. Scammers know it. What happened On Saturday, October 17, a fire ignited in a training area at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright, about 200 km southeast of Edmonton. Officials say it began as a grass fire during training that included grenades and live ammunition. Military leaders said the fire was known to range control for hours and was believed to be contained enough for training to continue. Then the wind turned. Reporting from Al Jazeera and ABC News describes gusts jumping from about 50 km/h to as high as 96 km/h, pushing the flames toward soldiers and their administrative area. Defence officials said 84 members of the Princess Patricia's Canadian Light Infantry were in the training area. Four servi...
Are rate hikes over for Canada
The Canadian economy is expected to show a modest growth of 0.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the latest estimates from Statistics Canada. This is lower than the 0.6% expansion in the previous quarter, and well below the 2.1% growth rate that the Bank of Canada projected in July.
The weak GDP numbers have fueled the speculation that the country may be heading into a recession, as global trade tensions, lower oil prices, and household debt weigh on the economic outlook.
However, not everyone is convinced that the situation is so dire. Some forecasters argue that the third quarter slowdown was mainly due to temporary factors, such as a strike at a major auto plant, a drop in agricultural output due to drought, and a slowdown in housing construction. They expect that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter, as these factors dissipate and consumer spending picks up.
Moreover, some forecasters point out that the inflation rate remains within the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%, suggesting that there is no need for further monetary stimulus. They also note that the labour market remains strong, with the unemployment rate at a near-record low of 5.5%, and wage growth at a solid 3.2%.
Therefore, some forecasters believe that the Bank of Canada will maintain its wait-and-see approach, and keep interest rates unchanged until there are clear signs of either a sustained recovery or a prolonged downturn. They argue that the central bank has already done enough to support the economy, by cutting interest rates three times in 2022, and that any further easing could fuel financial imbalances and inflationary pressures.
In summary, the GDP numbers for the third quarter of 2023 are likely to spark more debate about the state of the Canadian economy and the direction of monetary policy. However, some forecasters are more optimistic than others, and think that the rate hikes are over for now, unless there is a significant change in the economic conditions.
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