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Ottawa May End U.S. Alcohol Bans to Dodge the Tariffs — What It Means for You

  August 10, 2026 · 6 min read With nine days left before the United States' 50% tariff on hundreds of Canadian goods is set to kick in, Ottawa appears willing to give up one of its most visible retaliation tools: the provincial bans on American beer, wine, and spirits. According to CBC News reporting from federal negotiators, Canada is prepared to end those bans, lift its retaliatory tariff on U.S.-made vehicles, and adjust how it allocates dairy import quotas — all in exchange for Washington dropping the looming 50% levy and easing existing duties on steel and aluminum. Talks have not produced a signed deal. Both sides have agreed to meet daily through August 19, and Canadian officials have reportedly told their American counterparts that the deadline is a real cliff: once the tariffs land, there's little political appetite left in Canada to keep negotiating. Whether that urgency produces an agreement in time is still an open question. What it means for you: Even if this dea...
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Are rate hikes over for Canada


The Canadian economy is expected to show a modest growth of 0.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the latest estimates from Statistics Canada. This is lower than the 0.6% expansion in the previous quarter, and well below the 2.1% growth rate that the Bank of Canada projected in July.

The weak GDP numbers have fueled the speculation that the country may be heading into a recession, as global trade tensions, lower oil prices, and household debt weigh on the economic outlook. 

However, not everyone is convinced that the situation is so dire. Some forecasters argue that the third quarter slowdown was mainly due to temporary factors, such as a strike at a major auto plant, a drop in agricultural output due to drought, and a slowdown in housing construction. They expect that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter, as these factors dissipate and consumer spending picks up.

Moreover, some forecasters point out that the inflation rate remains within the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%, suggesting that there is no need for further monetary stimulus. They also note that the labour market remains strong, with the unemployment rate at a near-record low of 5.5%, and wage growth at a solid 3.2%.

Therefore, some forecasters believe that the Bank of Canada will maintain its wait-and-see approach, and keep interest rates unchanged until there are clear signs of either a sustained recovery or a prolonged downturn. They argue that the central bank has already done enough to support the economy, by cutting interest rates three times in 2022, and that any further easing could fuel financial imbalances and inflationary pressures.

In summary, the GDP numbers for the third quarter of 2023 are likely to spark more debate about the state of the Canadian economy and the direction of monetary policy. However, some forecasters are more optimistic than others, and think that the rate hikes are over for now, unless there is a significant change in the economic conditions.

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