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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Roasted Cauliflower & Potato Curry Soup


In this healthy cauliflower soup recipe, roasting the cauliflower first adds depth and prevents the florets from turning to mush. A little tomato sauce and coconut milk give the broth a rich, silky texture. Serve with a dollop of sour cream or yogurt, if desired.

Ingredients

  • 2 teaspoons ground coriander
  • 2 teaspoons ground cumin
  • 1 ½ teaspoons ground cinnamon
  • 1 ½ teaspoons ground turmeric
  • 1 ¼ teaspoons salt
  • ¾ teaspoon ground pepper
  • ⅛ teaspoon cayenne pepper
  • 1 small head cauliflower, cut into small florets (about 6 cups)
  • 2 tablespoons extra-virgin olive oil, divided
  • 1 large onion, chopped
  • 1 cup diced carrot
  • 3 large cloves garlic, minced
  • 1 ½ teaspoons grated fresh ginger
  • 1 fresh red chile pepper, such as serrano or jalapeño, minced, plus more for garnish
  • 1 (14 ounce) can no-salt-added tomato sauce
  • 4 cups low-sodium vegetable broth
  • 3 cups diced peeled russet potatoes (1/2-inch)
  • 3 cups diced peeled sweet potatoes (1/2-inch)
  • 2 teaspoons lime zest
  • 2 tablespoons lime juice
  • 1 (14 ounce) can coconut milk
  • Chopped fresh cilantro for garnish

Directions

  2. 1. Preheat oven to 450 degrees F.

  3. 2. Combine coriander, cumin, cinnamon, turmeric, salt, pepper and cayenne in a small bowl. Toss cauliflower with 1 tablespoon oil in a large bowl, sprinkle with 1 tablespoon of the spice mixture and toss again. Spread in a single layer on a rimmed baking sheet. Roast the cauliflower until the edges are browned, 15 to 20 minutes. Set aside.

  4. 3. Meanwhile, heat the remaining 1 tablespoon oil in a large pot over medium-high heat. Add onion and carrot and cook, stirring often, until starting to brown, 3 to 4 minutes. Reduce heat to medium and continue cooking, stirring often, until the onion is soft, 3 to 4 minutes. Add garlic, ginger, chile and the remaining spice mixture. Cook, stirring, for 1 minute more.

  5. 4. Stir in tomato sauce, scraping up any browned bits, and simmer for 1 minute. Add broth, potatoes, sweet potatoes, lime zest and juice. Cover and bring to a boil over high heat. Reduce heat to maintain a gentle simmer and cook, partially covered and stirring occasionally, until the vegetables are tender, 35 to 40 minutes.

  6. 5. Stir in coconut milk and the roasted cauliflower. Return to a simmer to heat through. Serve garnished with cilantro and chiles, if desired.


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